The situation is worse than though. Iran is about to be out of water and tens of millions of Iranians could languish and die, or be forced to leave Iran over the next decade. Iran recently recorded having the highest temperature on the planet. The foretold nuclear war between America and the Communist nations, in which it is seen in prophecy that America will get hit with a group of mega-nukes, destroying America's cities in the same second, will cause the earth wide temperature to go up another twenty percent, making life unsustainable for the people of Iran.
Every government is run by bullies, criminals, and gangsters. That is why systems are failing in every nation. I'm looking at the world situation from a stance of pure logic.
But that is why the NotDisneyland operating system, based on our New New New Thing methodology, is being installed.
The Iranian government's system of corruption-on-earth goes back 1400 years or more. In the old days it was not noticeable because there was no system. There was no sophistication. Some national leader would just say, "Let's send an ambassador to India and let's see if they will buy our tobacco." Then the leader would lay on his couch and get foot massages all day long while smoking heroin or opium, and eventually become brain dead and start killing everyone who criticizes him. But even that was not enough to destroy the nation. That was because the majority of people were living off the land, growing their own food, and had their own cow to milk. Even a rooster could have been Iran's leader, and nothing bad would have happened.
Today though, it takes super-genius Nerd-powers and people who have superhuman knowledge of abstract topics that no A.I. could ever hope to know about, to survive the things that are happening and will happen in the 2030s.
The problem with Iran is that Iran has a leader who was made for the 1300s and the Mongol invasions.
In the example of current Iran, lucrative contracts for building dams, wells, and irrigation, were given to friends and family. To be fair, the problem goes back to the Pahlavi regime; but A.I. says it became much worse under Khomeini and Khamenei.
Every regime is headed by personalities and not brainpower. And that is the problem. The Dark Ages ended centuries ago. That is why NotDisneyland is putting genius Nerds in charge as Iran's new leaders, and not cult leaders, jocks, and personalities.
I used A.I. to help me put together an assessment of the water problem in Iran and the solution to fix it. But I think it's going to take more than what A.I. knows because A.I. only comes up with complex technical solutions that already exist; solutions it finds in articles and papers written up in universities. What we must have is something that has not been done before. Some of the solutions that are offered here, are practical solutions. But Iran's corruption is so massive, it has totally destroyed the entire water infrastructure so that the problem is not the drought itself but the massive chunks of destroyed or unnecessary infrastructure that block every way to fix the problem.
It's a good thing that NotDisneyland is going to start developing and building a new Dubai in Africa. But we might have to build two of them in Africa if 70 percent of the Iranian population has to be moved out of Iran (as experts predict). Otherwise, what Khamenei has done to Iran ... is a Holocaust. He, along with Khomeini, were sent to destroy Iran. Why? I get into that in the book "Iran Disneyland" (get it on Amazon). They succeeded in not only destroying Iran, but stealing hundreds of billions of dollars and moving it to secret accounts outside of Iran.
If you are knowledgeable or curious about irrigation and the water problem, go ahead and read the following technical assessment and leave a comment.
Personally, I think the solutions that A.I. offers are not enough and will take too long and are too complex - especially when we are in a world war situation and have entered a two decades-long mega quake era that will destroy every nation. My solution is to build giant drainpipes underwater in the Persian Gulf that penetrate into the Iranian land mass, and feed them into the deep underground, to the uplands of Iran. From there, some of the water can be desalinated, but water for homes doesn't have to be. Showering in sea water is healthy. Also, once the water is piped upland, it can be moved downhill in a natura flow towards southern Iran through other pipe systems which can be above-ground. Iran has tunnel digging technology, so is able to build underground mole holes to feed the massive-sized pipes.
The only question is, what kind of technology is needed to get the water to flow from the Gulf to the middle of Iran, and then brought one mile straight up to the surface?
😒
Why there’s a water shortage
Demand long exceeded supply
For decades Iran expanded irrigation as if water were unlimited.
Surface water was dammed and diverted; when that ran short, groundwater was pumped heavily, more than could be handled.
Groundwater depletion + land subsidence: Over-pumping has caused some of the world’s fastest subsidence (when the surface collapses because of the depletion of water deep underneath)—damaging above ground infrastructure as giant holes and cracks opened up all over.
Big dams & inter-basin transfers: Aggressive dam-building and water transfers (e.g., from the Karun/Dez systems) cut flows to downstream communities and wetlands.
Destruction of ecosystems: Lake Urmia, once the Middle Earth’s largest lake, has shriveled up into a salt flat.
Planet X's effect on the climate: Hotter, drier conditions make a mismanaged system fail faster.
How it got to this point (policy & governance)
Policy choices across eras: From the late Pahlavi period through the Islamic Republic, development plans prioritized food/self-sufficiency and big hydraulic works over efficiency and ecosystem limits, creating a long-running “socio-economic drought.”
Institutional fragmentation: Water is split across powerful ministries (Energy; Agriculture-Jihad) and parastatals, with weak basin-level governance and poor transparency—so withdrawals kept rising even as rivers and aquifers fell.
Corruption: Analysts describe “structural corruption” and politicized water allocations (e.g., inter-basin transfers and dam contracts awarded to companies owned by I.R.G.C. members), with weak public scrutiny.
Water theft: Even state media acknowledge vast numbers of unauthorized wells.
Who is responsible? Successive governments (pre- and post-1979), the Ministries of Energy and Agriculture-Jihad, provincial water companies, and major contractors all shaped today’s over-allocated, under-governed system.
Crackdown on water-related protests: During the
Khuzestan water protests (July 2021), rights groups documented security forces using live ammunition and birdshot against largely peaceful demonstrators; deaths and mass arrests were reported.
Amnesty International Targeting environmentalists: Members of the
Persian Wildlife Heritage Foundation were arrested on security charges; one,
Kavous Seyed-Emami, died in custody under disputed circumstances (2018). Several were later freed after serving years.
Human Rights Watch+1AP News
Environmental offenses inside Iran: Authorities themselves cite widespread
illegal well drilling and unlawful abstraction—offenses under Iranian law—even as enforcement has been inconsistent.
What would actually help: Metering/enforcement to stop illegal abstraction; retire/convert thirsty crops (such as watermelons which use up massive amounts of water); modernize irrigation; price water and energy to reflect scarcity with protections for the poor; pause new transfers, operate dams for rivers/wetlands; and build transparent basin authorities that publish contracts. These align with recommendations from regional and international experts.
FIXING IT:
Here’s a practical, staged playbook that Iran could execute to pull out of “water bankruptcy” (severe long-term overuse of surface and especially groundwater) and stabilize supplies while protecting people, farms,and ecosystems.
0) Declare the emergency & Adopt a national “water shortage” decree. Put a legal ceiling on withdrawals in every basin equal to sustainable yield; everything else must be phased down. Publish a public dashboard (basin-by-basin storage, pumping, subsidence, lake/river status).
Freeze expansion that increases net demand: immediate moratorium on (a) new high-capacity wells, (b) new inter-basin transfers/dams that lack full basin-wide impact reviews, and (c) siting of water-intensive industries in interior basins.
Stand up Basin Crisis Cells: in all 6 major hydrologic regions led by the Energy Ministry but co-chaired with Agriculture-Jihad and governors.
1) Stop the bleeding (0–12 months) - Meter, register, and cap all large wells. Make smart meters and tamper-proof seals mandatory for any electricity/diesel subsidy; cut power to non-compliant pumps. Prioritize the top 10% of wells that account for the majority of abstraction.
Shut down illegal wells: Start with high-capacity/shallows near cities and collapsing aquifers; compensate smallholders with cash, water-saving kits, and job programs. Publicize closures.
Emergency urban loss control. Launch a national “Find & Fix” program to cut
non-revenue water (leaks + theft) by ~5 percentage points in the 20 largest cities via pressure management, district metering, and rapid-repair teams.
Protect critical ecosystems with minimum flows. Allocate environmental releases to Lake Urmia and stressed wetlands/rivers; re-operate upstream dams to meet seasonal flow windows.
Subsidence hotspots task force. Impose emergency pumping cuts and land-use restrictions in Tehran plain, Rafsanjan, and other red zones; safeguard rails, highways, and utilities.
2) Rewrite the rules (1–3 years) Pass a Groundwater Sustainability Law. For each aquifer, set a declining cap to reach balance within 10 years; require: metering, annual public accounts, and penalties that escalate from fines to pump confiscation. (Model: cap-and-reduce frameworks used internationally.) F
ix perverse incentives. Decouple energy/water subsidies from volume; deliver
targeted cash transfers to small farmers instead. Make all remaining pump-power discounts conditional on meters + demonstrated savings.
Transparent water allocations & contracts. Publish all major water contracts, transfer schemes, and dam O&M information.
Irrigation shift. Retire the thirstiest crops in overdrawn basins (e.g., summer rice, water-heavy forage) via voluntary buyouts and multi-year switching contracts; scale drip/sprinkler where agronomically sound; expand deficit irrigation advisories.
Scale wastewater reuse. Mandate that large cities treat and reuse a rising share of effluent for industry/green belts.
Drought risk & demand management. Standardize drought stages (Watch/Warning/Emergency) with pre-agreed municipal and farm cutbacks; publish monthly outlooks.
3) Rebalance the economy to the water you actually have (3–10 years) Right-size agriculture to basin limits. Tie acreage, crop mix, and irrigation tech to each aquifer’s cap; support exits/alternatives: greenhouse horticulture, dryland crops, agro-processing in wetter/coastal zones.
Relocate water-intensive industry. Gradually move steel/petrochemicals and new power capacity toward the coasts; if desalination is used, restrict it to coastal municipal/industrial supply with strict brine management and renewable power.
Urban redesigns (Flexi-Cities)
Restore rivers & wetlands. Replace “hard” flood control with reconnected floodplains
.
4) Anti-corruption: Enforcement actions posted as machine-readable.
Independent oversight. Water Regulator for pricing, metering, and access; empower the Supreme Audit Court and judiciary.
5) What success looks like: overdraft reduced each year. Annual rates decline in Tehran, Rafsanjan, Kerman; zero growth of new cracks in protected corridors. Wells metered or closed; enforcement actions and appeals published. Lake Urmia and priority wetlands meet seasonal flow and salinity targets. Non-revenue water cut to <20% nationwide; per-capita use trending down without service loss.
Why this works: Independent studies of Iran’s crisis emphasize that the coreproblem is
structural overuse—not just drought—driven by policy incentives and governance gaps; stabilizing groundwater, halting subsidence, and restoring environmental flows are therefore the non-negotiables. Similar mixes of
caps + metering + pricing reform + transparency have reversed subsidence and aquifer decline elsewhere, and Iran’s own Lake Urmia program shows that targeted, community-based water saving and re-operation of infrastructure can move the needle when consistently funded and monitored.
HERE IS A PLAN TO SOURCE WATER FROM THE OCEAN:
Guiding facts: Modern SWRO desal needs roughly
2.5–4.0 kWh per m³; best-in-class projects hit ~
2.9 kWh/m³ today.
ScienceDirectWall Street Journal Giant plants typically take
2–3 years EPC; so the one-year window must use
modular units and
floating/barged desal (already deployed in Saudi waters) plus
temporary pipelines.
Aquatech TradeSmart Water Magazine Iran already has a head start:
Persian Gulf→Central Plateau transfer (phases to Kerman/Yazd/Sirjan) with
hundreds of km of pipe laid and phase-1 inaugurated—build on this.
Caspian Newsiranpress.comWikipediaPhase A — 0–90 days: Stand up coastal water & freeinland supplyA1. Mobilize fast water on the coast (6 nodes). Chabahar, Jask, Bandar Abbas, Bushehr, Asaluyeh, Bandar Mahshahr. Install
containerized SWRO modules (50–100k m³/d per site) in parallel; lease
floating desal barges where berths allow. Target
~600k m³/d aggregate within 3 months (split across nodes).
Smart Water Magazine Power: hook to grid + diesel/gas peakers initially; start PV builds where land is available (PV reduces OPEX but isn’t on the critical path). Benchmarks from UAE show high-efficiency RO is realistic.
Wall Street Journal
A2. “Demand swap” to unlock inland water fast. Swap coastal industry & city demand to new desal so
river/groundwater that fed them is
released upstream toward
Ahvaz, Shiraz, Kerman, Yazd via existing networks/transfer lines. This is how you get
immediate relief inland while long pipes are built.
A3. Brine & intake safeguards from day one. Diffuser outfalls, ambient monitoring, and staged discharge rates to protect Gulf/Oman receiving waters (temperature/salinity/chemistry).
ScienceDirect
Phase B — Build 12 emergency corridors
B1. Temporary “above-ground” pipelines (AGP). Use
bare steel or HDPE strings on grade with trenching only at crossings; multiple construction spreads can lay
several km/day each (short, parallel segments finish much faster than a single long line).
slvwd.comفروش تجهیزات استخر Inline pump skids every 60–120 km; telemetry + leak detection; chlorination at termini.
B3. Tanker-train & road bridging. Where AGP cannot cross mountains in time, run
rail tankers and
road tankers from coastal nodes to inland depots for
hospitals and municipal peak hours for months 3–12.
Phase C — 3–12 months: Scale permanent capacity &start long haulsC1. Lock in two 800k m³/d-class permanent plants (Gulf& Oman Sea). Award EPC as
multiple parallel blocks (each ~100–150k m³/d) so early blocks finish in
9–12 months while later blocks follow—this “modular gigaplant” approach is how mega-plants hit scale elsewhere (e.g., Sorek/Rabigh/Ras Al-Khair scale classes, albeit with longer typical EPC).
Aquatech TradeWikipediaC2. Convert the fastest AGP corridors into buried,permanent mains. Bury, add surge protection, SCADA, and secure pump stations. Tie into the
Persian Gulf→Plateau backbone as it expands.
WikipediaC3. Energy plan. Year-1 desal energy for
~1,000,000 m³/d ≈
~3,000 MWh/day (at ~3 kWh/m³); secure with gas turbines initially; add PV + storage where grid constraints exist.
ScienceDirectC4. Environmental management. Brine diffusers with modeling; staged discharge; consider
salt recovery where economics allow; continuous marine monitoring to meet thresholds.
ScienceDirectProcurement & governance (make it actually happen) Split into 40–60 EPC packages (coastal intakes/outfalls, RO skids, pumps, AGP segments, power tie-ins).
Parallelize with 8–10 construction “spreads” per long corridor; shared standards for pipe, flanges, controls.
Transparency: publish daily progress, water outputs, and contracts (prevents capture and keeps timelines tight).
Prioritize domestic fabrication of steel pipe, supports, and tanks; import only the membranes/high-pressure pumps if required.
Month-by-month milestones (realistic stretch) M0–M1: Lease/position
floating desal; purchase containerized RO; survey AGP routes; power interconnects approved.
Smart Water Magazine M2–M3: First
200–300k m³/d coastal water online; two AGP pilot segments flowing (Zahedan, Sirjan).
M4–M6: All
6 coastal nodes producing;
8–10 AGP segments feeding cities; rail/tanker bridging operational; begin burying the two shortest corridors.
M7–M9: Hit
~800–1,000k m³/d coastal output; inland swaps reduce aquifer/river withdrawals through summer peak.
M10–M12: First
permanent 100–150k m³/d blocks of the two gigaplants commissioned; convert highest-traffic AGP to buried mains.
What this delivers in 12 months 1.0–1.2 million m³/day of new coastal supply (potable + industrial), enough to
fully replace coastal city draws and
push tens of percent upstream, stabilizing several interior cities through the next dry season. (Energy: ~3 GWh/day for RO; extra for pumping inland lifts.)
ScienceDirect
Twelve corridors delivering
emergency volumes to inland hubs (tens to low hundreds of thousands m³/d combined), with two or three corridors converted to permanent buried mains by year-end.
Measured reductions in groundwater pumping in Kerman/Yazd/Shiraz belts (tracked publicly), buying time for the deeper fixes.
Cautions (so the plan doesn’t backfire) Mountains & head: lifting water
1,000–1,800 m to plateau cities is energy-intensive and pump-station heavy; don’t promise million-m³/d to Isfahan/Tehran in one year—stage it.
Wikipedia+1 Brine: unmanaged discharge can harm sea life; commit to diffuser/monitoring from day one.
ScienceDirect
Cost: desal is far pricier than farm water;
keep it focused on cities/industry and use it to
free cheaper sources inland.
Financial Times Do not let desal become an excuse to keep over-pumping aquifers. Cap and meter groundwater in parallel.
